• Trump has a 52% chance of winning the betting odds backed by bets worth more than $124 million.
  • Historian Allan Lichtman sees Kamala Harris as the winner of the 2024 election with the positives of encouraging economic signs and laws enacted.
  • The polls indicate that the two candidates are in a race in the swing states, with Harris having a slight lead in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

Data update from Polymarket indicates that the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election betting odds records a race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The data shows that former president holds a 52% chance of winning the election, on the bets placed.

Polymarket Bets Favor Trump with $124M Backing His Win

According to Polymarket, Trump’s lead is supported by $124,130,832 in bets on his victory. In contrast, Kamala Harris has a 47% chance of winning, with $109,482,189 placed on her success. The total amount bet on this election is $843,025,685.

Trump vs. Harris: Betting Odds Lean Trump, Indicators Suggest Harris Win image 0 Trump vs. Harris: Betting Odds Lean Trump, Indicators Suggest Harris Win image 1

Source: Polymarket

Historian Allan Lichtman, identified for his correct predictions of nearly every U.S.  election since 1984, has tossed that Kamala will win the 2024. Based on his 13 Keys to the White House system, Lichtman’s analysis suggests that despite losing the position following Joe Biden’s decision not to run, Harris benefits from several favorable factors.

These include positive economic indicators,  legislative achievements, and an absence of major social unrest or scandals. Lichtman’s assessment indicates that Harris’s strong party support and the favorable economic environment could outweigh challenges related to foreign policy and potential social unrest, positioning her as a likely victor over Donald Trump.

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Harris Leads Trump in Key States

Trump vs. Harris: Betting Odds Lean Trump, Indicators Suggest Harris Win image 2 Trump vs. Harris: Betting Odds Lean Trump, Indicators Suggest Harris Win image 3

Source: NewYork Times

Data from the NYT shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in a closely contested race across key battleground states. In Wisconsin, Harris leads with 50% to Trump’s 47%. Michigan and Pennsylvania show Harris slightly ahead at 49%, compared to Trump’s 47% and 48%, respectively. Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina display a deadlock, with both candidates tied at 48%. Arizona mirrors this trend, with each candidate receiving 48%.

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