Current market trends and upcoming global events may spike the market price of Bitcoin to $100,000 by January 2025, crypto research firm 10x Research said.

The 10x Research prediction for the $100,000 Bitcoin ( BTC ) price target is based on its model that recently triggered two buy signals, the most recent being on Oct. 14. According to10x Research, its prediction model has a track record of 86.7% accuracy based on the last 15 signals.

The researchers explained their reasoning for the optimistic Bitcoin prediction:

“When Bitcoin sets a new six-month high for the first time in 6 months like it did recently, we typically see a median return of 40% over the next 3 months.”

Considering these calculations, a 40% jump from the current market price of $73,000 will push BTC above $101,000 by Jan. 27, 2025.

Bitcoin buy signal. Source: 10x Research

Another factor supporting the theory is the “Bitcoin black hole effect,” implying that increasing Bitcoin dominance is pulling the value away from altcoins. 

Institutional investors to support Bitcoin bull run

In addition, institutional investors such as BlackRock now perceive BTC as a long-term stable asset or digital gold. The 10x Research report stated:

“Gold has always been seen as a safe haven asset, so if Bitcoin is the new digital gold, it makes sense that institutions would be interested.”

The spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) market brought in $4.1 billion worth of BTC in October alone. Moreover, the general crypto investor also sees value in holding BTC for the long term.

Spot Bitcoin ETF monthly flows. Source: 10x Research

Related: Bitcoin’s brush with all-time high still hasn’t woken up retail investors .

The substantial investments into BTC have lifted stock prices of Bitcoin mining companies — a correlation previously predicted by 10x Research.

Ethereum could perform short-term

10x Research also predicted that Donald Trump would win the 2024 United States presidential election, which could positively impact the crypto market.

Upcoming rules will allow companies to report their Bitcoin holdings in current market prices and encourage more businesses to include crypto in their portfolios. 

In contrast, 10x Research provided a bearish outlook for Ether ( ETH ) owing to lower yields over the last two years.

As a result, the report was optimistic about short-term rallies for Ether but skeptical about its long-term prospects unless innovations change a stagnant trajectory.


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